• A focus on tariffs has distracted decision-makers from other disruptive challenges in supply chains, our third-quarter supply chain outlook finds, with escalations in kinetic conflicts, natural risk and trade disputes possible.
• Tariffs will still play an important role, with rulings and negotiations on IEEPA duties due in July, and the potential for recommendations on Section 232 cases at any time. The US is not the only one seeking to secure trade deals, with the EU looking across the Atlantic to Mercosur, talks with India and continuing negotiations with mainland China.
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Supply Chain Edge: Q3 outlook has conflicting decisions; US inventories rise; dull fireworks boom
Ags - Fruit/Veg 151 Chile 118 Cons. Discr. - Apparel 537 Cons. Discr. - Autos 1255 Cons. Discr. - Durables 585 Cons. Discr. - Retailing 525 Consumer Staples 818 Energy - Renewables 208 European Union 890 India 563 Iran 43 Israel 31 Materials - Chemicals 280 Materials - Metals/Mining 803 Metals - Aluminum 275 Metals - Steel 548 Mexico 931 Mode - Containerized 1535 Mode - Seaborne 1853 Peru 50 South Africa 52 South Korea 609 Spain 60 Tariffs 1878 Theme - Shipbuilding 115 Trade Balance 935 Trade Deals 1020 U.S. 5418 USMCA 462 United Kingdom 393 Vietnam 418Copyright © 2026 Panjiva Supply Chain Intelligence, a product offering from S&P Global Market Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.




